Minority Report

Hatillo Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hatillo Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 89°   Low 73°   Rain 58%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 100 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 58%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—76°0%
US model (GFS)92°72°100%
European model (ECMWF)86°72°100%
German model (ICON)88°73°55%
Canadian model (GEM)89°73°35%
The average89°73°58%

Friday, November 13

High 90°   Low 75°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 30% against a group average of 9%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service88°76°30%
US model (GFS)90°73°0%
European model (ECMWF)89°77°4%
German model (ICON)93°76°3%
Canadian model (GEM)92°74°6%
The average90°75°9%

Saturday, November 14

High 90°   Low 77°   Rain 30%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 56 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 59% against a group average of 30%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service89°75°50%
US model (GFS)90°75°3%
European model (ECMWF)87°77°59%
German model (ICON)92°80°5%
Canadian model (GEM)94°77°32%
The average90°77°30%

Sunday, November 15

High 87°   Low 75°   Rain 12%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 28% against a group average of 12%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service87°74°28%
US model (GFS)89°73°3%
European model (ECMWF)84°74°14%
German model (ICON)89°78°10%
Canadian model (GEM)87°74°5%
The average87°75°12%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.