Minority Report

Havana, IL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Mason County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 7%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 14 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°2%
US model (GFS)45°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°38°14%
German model (ICON)46°34°3%
Canadian model (GEM)47°32°14%
The average46°34°7%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 30°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°25°2%
US model (GFS)43°30°1%
European model (ECMWF)43°34°0%
German model (ICON)44°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°30°0%
The average44°30°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°26°0%
US model (GFS)47°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°30°0%
German model (ICON)48°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°22°0%
The average47°27°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°26°0%
US model (GFS)50°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°29°0%
German model (ICON)51°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°16°0%
The average50°26°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.