Minority Report

Hawesville, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hancock County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 38°   Rain 40%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 71 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 4% against a group average of 40%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°4%
US model (GFS)53°36°40%
European model (ECMWF)55°41°75%
German model (ICON)54°39°60%
Canadian model (GEM)54°37°19%
The average54°38°40%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°30°19%
US model (GFS)44°33°4%
European model (ECMWF)46°36°10%
German model (ICON)45°35°13%
Canadian model (GEM)47°36°0%
The average45°34°9%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 30°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°26°0%
US model (GFS)50°33°1%
European model (ECMWF)49°31°0%
German model (ICON)50°32°5%
Canadian model (GEM)49°28°0%
The average50°30°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°29°0%
US model (GFS)53°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°31°0%
German model (ICON)55°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°23°0%
The average52°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.