Minority Report

Hayes Center, NE — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hayes County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°0%
US model (GFS)56°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°33°0%
German model (ICON)56°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°34°0%
The average56°32°0%

Friday, November 13

High 50°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°27°0%
US model (GFS)47°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°36°0%
German model (ICON)50°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°30°0%
The average50°31°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 31°   Rain 22%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 39% against a group average of 22%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°29°22%
US model (GFS)50°27°13%
European model (ECMWF)44°35°17%
German model (ICON)49°32°19%
Canadian model (GEM)46°33°39%
The average47°31°22%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 35°   Rain 24%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 54 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 58% against a group average of 24%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°31°4%
US model (GFS)42°38°16%
European model (ECMWF)48°38°20%
German model (ICON)44°36°23%
Canadian model (GEM)48°33°58%
The average46°35°24%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.