Minority Report

Hayesville, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Clay County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 41°   Rain 78%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 89 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 11% against a group average of 78%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°11%
US model (GFS)56°41°79%
European model (ECMWF)56°44°100%
German model (ICON)56°44°98%
Canadian model (GEM)54°42°100%
The average55°41°78%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 35°   Rain 12%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 26% against a group average of 12%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°29°19%
US model (GFS)44°34°4%
European model (ECMWF)44°37°8%
German model (ICON)45°38°3%
Canadian model (GEM)43°38°26%
The average44°35°12%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 29°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°25°0%
US model (GFS)47°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)44°33°0%
German model (ICON)47°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°26°6%
The average46°29°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°29°1%
US model (GFS)53°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°32°0%
German model (ICON)54°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°22°0%
The average53°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.