Hays, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Ellis County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 57° Low 34° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 30° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 56° | 35° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 56° | 36° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 35° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 59° | 35° | 0% |
| The average | 57° | 34° | 0% |
High 51° Low 31° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 51° | 31° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 34° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 51° | 33° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 51° | 29° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 52° | 28° | 0% |
| The average | 51° | 31° | 0% |
High 49° Low 32° Rain 32%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 34° | 41% |
| US model (GFS) | 51° | 30° | 18% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 35° | 36% |
| German model (ICON) | 51° | 31° | 21% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 47° | 31° | 44% |
| The average | 49° | 32° | 32% |
High 45° Low 38° Rain 55%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 48 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 32° | 35% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 40° | 55% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 49° | 39° | 55% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 40° | 48% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 37° | 83% |
| The average | 45° | 38° | 55% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.