Minority Report

Hayward, WI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Sawyer County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 35°   Low 29°   Rain 37%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 94 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 94% against a group average of 37%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—22°9%
US model (GFS)36°32°10%
European model (ECMWF)35°31°94%
German model (ICON)35°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)36°30°71%
The average35°29°37%

Friday, November 13

High 36°   Low 25°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service38°21°2%
US model (GFS)34°30°1%
European model (ECMWF)35°28°0%
German model (ICON)36°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)35°20°0%
The average36°25°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 40°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°22°0%
US model (GFS)41°28°1%
European model (ECMWF)40°27°0%
German model (ICON)40°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°18°0%
The average40°24°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°24°0%
US model (GFS)45°29°1%
European model (ECMWF)44°28°0%
German model (ICON)46°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°18°0%
The average45°25°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.