Hazard, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Perry County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 56° Low 42° Rain 84%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 62 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 37° | 38% |
| US model (GFS) | 56° | 44° | 83% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 56° | 43° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 55° | 45° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 56° | 44° | 100% |
| The average | 56° | 42° | 84% |
High 44° Low 36° Rain 78%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 50 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 42° | 30° | 70% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 35° | 47% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 37° | 97% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 39° | 80% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 38° | 96% |
| The average | 44° | 36° | 78% |
High 44° Low 32° Rain 30%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 60 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 30° | 16% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 32° | 4% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 33° | 34% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 36° | 30% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 31° | 64% |
| The average | 44° | 32° | 30% |
High 49° Low 32° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 50° | 28° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 33° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 49° | 33° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 51° | 38° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 30° | 0% |
| The average | 49° | 32° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.