Minority Report

Hebbronville, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Jim Hogg County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 78°   Low 59°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—54°0%
US model (GFS)78°61°1%
European model (ECMWF)78°62°0%
German model (ICON)76°61°3%
Canadian model (GEM)80°60°0%
The average78°59°1%

Friday, November 13

High 76°   Low 56°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 22% against a group average of 5%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service76°57°22%
US model (GFS)74°58°1%
European model (ECMWF)76°59°0%
German model (ICON)74°54°0%
Canadian model (GEM)78°53°0%
The average76°56°5%

Saturday, November 14

High 76°   Low 61°   Rain 41%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 41%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service74°64°43%
US model (GFS)72°59°54%
European model (ECMWF)76°61°41%
German model (ICON)74°61°44%
Canadian model (GEM)81°58°24%
The average76°61°41%

Sunday, November 15

High 82°   Low 64°   Rain 32%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 39 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 52% against a group average of 32%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service80°59°18%
US model (GFS)82°66°13%
European model (ECMWF)82°61°52%
German model (ICON)80°67°25%
Canadian model (GEM)84°68°52%
The average82°64°32%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.