Minority Report

Heber Springs, AR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cleburne County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 64°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°0%
US model (GFS)66°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°43°0%
German model (ICON)64°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°48°0%
The average64°42°0%

Friday, November 13

High 53°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°28°0%
US model (GFS)51°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°38°0%
German model (ICON)54°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°40°0%
The average53°35°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°31°1%
US model (GFS)53°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°35°0%
German model (ICON)52°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°35°0%
The average52°31°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 37°   Rain 14%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°37°12%
US model (GFS)56°38°13%
European model (ECMWF)54°38°13%
German model (ICON)58°32°19%
Canadian model (GEM)54°39°14%
The average55°37°14%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.