Minority Report

Helena, AR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Phillips County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 67°   Low 45°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°0%
US model (GFS)66°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)67°48°0%
German model (ICON)67°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)68°48°0%
The average67°45°0%

Friday, November 13

High 52°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°32°0%
US model (GFS)51°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°40°0%
German model (ICON)53°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°33°0%
The average52°36°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 53°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°35°0%
US model (GFS)54°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°37°0%
German model (ICON)53°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°26°0%
The average53°33°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 57°   Low 37°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°38°12%
US model (GFS)58°40°9%
European model (ECMWF)55°38°10%
German model (ICON)59°37°16%
Canadian model (GEM)58°30°0%
The average57°37°9%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.