Minority Report

Helena, MT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lewis and Clark County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°0%
US model (GFS)53°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°41°0%
German model (ICON)54°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°36°0%
The average56°36°0%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°38°1%
US model (GFS)60°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°39°0%
German model (ICON)60°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°32°0%
The average60°35°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 55°   Low 35°   Rain 7%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°32°5%
US model (GFS)58°37°2%
European model (ECMWF)57°39°10%
German model (ICON)52°31°3%
Canadian model (GEM)54°34°14%
The average55°35°7%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°33°1%
US model (GFS)54°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°38°0%
German model (ICON)53°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°30°0%
The average54°33°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.