Minority Report

Hemphill, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Sabine County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 53°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—45°0%
US model (GFS)77°52°0%
European model (ECMWF)75°58°0%
German model (ICON)77°52°0%
Canadian model (GEM)77°57°0%
The average77°53°0%

Friday, November 13

High 68°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°41°1%
US model (GFS)68°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)66°54°0%
German model (ICON)66°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)71°54°0%
The average68°49°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 62°   Low 44°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°41°12%
US model (GFS)64°44°2%
European model (ECMWF)61°48°6%
German model (ICON)61°40°3%
Canadian model (GEM)62°48°0%
The average62°44°5%

Sunday, November 15

High 58°   Low 46°   Rain 80%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 16°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 96% against a group average of 80%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°41°81%
US model (GFS)66°47°70%
European model (ECMWF)52°47°96%
German model (ICON)50°47°76%
Canadian model (GEM)60°47°75%
The average58°46°80%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.