Minority Report

Henderson, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Henderson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 57°   Low 37°   Rain 23%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 33 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 2% against a group average of 23%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°2%
US model (GFS)56°36°28%
European model (ECMWF)57°42°35%
German model (ICON)56°37°35%
Canadian model (GEM)58°37°14%
The average57°37°23%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 33°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 5%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°30°19%
US model (GFS)42°33°1%
European model (ECMWF)46°37°0%
German model (ICON)46°32°5%
Canadian model (GEM)47°33°0%
The average46°33°5%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°29°0%
US model (GFS)50°31°1%
European model (ECMWF)49°33°0%
German model (ICON)50°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°27°0%
The average50°30°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°30°0%
US model (GFS)54°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°33°0%
German model (ICON)54°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°24°0%
The average52°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.