Henderson, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Vance County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 69° Low 46° Rain 33%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 69 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 41° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 70° | 48° | 18% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 69° | 47° | 65% |
| German model (ICON) | 69° | 46° | 70% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 70° | 46° | 10% |
| The average | 69° | 46° | 33% |
High 56° Low 39° Rain 18%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 32 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 58° | 32° | 16% |
| US model (GFS) | 55° | 40° | 19% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 55° | 43° | 37% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 38° | 15% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 58° | 41° | 5% |
| The average | 56° | 39° | 18% |
High 52° Low 32° Rain 6%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 53° | 31° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 52° | 32° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 51° | 37° | 22% |
| German model (ICON) | 52° | 30° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 52° | 32° | 5% |
| The average | 52° | 32° | 6% |
High 54° Low 33° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 55° | 31° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 54° | 35° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 54° | 36° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 30° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 53° | 32° | 0% |
| The average | 54° | 33° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.