Minority Report

Henderson, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Rusk County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 75°   Low 50°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—45°1%
US model (GFS)77°51°0%
European model (ECMWF)74°52°0%
German model (ICON)74°51°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°51°0%
The average75°50°0%

Friday, November 13

High 66°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service67°42°1%
US model (GFS)66°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°49°0%
German model (ICON)63°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°49°0%
The average66°47°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 61°   Low 43°   Rain 12%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 23% against a group average of 12%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°44°23%
US model (GFS)62°42°4%
European model (ECMWF)60°44°21%
German model (ICON)58°38°10%
Canadian model (GEM)62°46°3%
The average61°43°12%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 44°   Rain 83%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 98% against a group average of 83%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°44°78%
US model (GFS)56°45°68%
European model (ECMWF)50°44°98%
German model (ICON)49°44°83%
Canadian model (GEM)50°43°87%
The average52°44°83%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.