Minority Report

Hendersonville, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Henderson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 40°   Rain 15%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 27 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 29% against a group average of 15%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°6%
US model (GFS)58°42°29%
European model (ECMWF)58°44°2%
German model (ICON)58°41°13%
Canadian model (GEM)61°40°24%
The average59°40°15%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 35°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 5%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°32°4%
US model (GFS)43°33°4%
European model (ECMWF)45°37°0%
German model (ICON)46°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°36°19%
The average45°35°5%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 30°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°27°0%
US model (GFS)43°30°3%
European model (ECMWF)42°33°0%
German model (ICON)42°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°30°0%
The average43°30°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°29°0%
US model (GFS)49°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°30°0%
German model (ICON)51°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°27°0%
The average50°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.