Minority Report

Henrietta, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Clay County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—45°0%
US model (GFS)77°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)77°48°0%
German model (ICON)75°47°0%
Canadian model (GEM)78°44°0%
The average77°46°0%

Friday, November 13

High 65°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°44°0%
US model (GFS)65°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)65°48°0%
German model (ICON)63°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°45°0%
The average65°46°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 61°   Low 44°   Rain 84%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 57% against a group average of 84%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°45°90%
US model (GFS)63°42°76%
European model (ECMWF)61°47°100%
German model (ICON)58°44°95%
Canadian model (GEM)61°43°57%
The average61°44°84%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 44°   Rain 93%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 82% against a group average of 93%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°42°82%
US model (GFS)54°45°88%
European model (ECMWF)52°46°100%
German model (ICON)47°44°99%
Canadian model (GEM)49°42°95%
The average51°44°93%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.