Minority Report

Henry County, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Henry County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 65°   Low 42°   Rain 26%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 43 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 2% against a group average of 26%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°2%
US model (GFS)65°42°22%
European model (ECMWF)65°46°43%
German model (ICON)64°42°45%
Canadian model (GEM)65°41°19%
The average65°42°26%

Friday, November 13

High 53°   Low 36°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°31°2%
US model (GFS)51°36°3%
European model (ECMWF)54°40°8%
German model (ICON)53°36°3%
Canadian model (GEM)55°36°0%
The average53°36°3%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 32°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°28°0%
US model (GFS)49°31°5%
European model (ECMWF)50°37°2%
German model (ICON)49°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°31°0%
The average50°32°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°28°0%
US model (GFS)52°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°33°0%
German model (ICON)55°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°29°0%
The average54°31°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.