Hereford, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Deaf Smith County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 71° Low 38° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 39° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 71° | 36° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 70° | 41° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 72° | 38° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 71° | 35° | 0% |
| The average | 71° | 38° | 0% |
High 65° Low 38° Rain 5%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 66° | 44° | 18% |
| US model (GFS) | 67° | 39° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 64° | 41° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 64° | 35° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 66° | 33° | 6% |
| The average | 65° | 38° | 5% |
High 53° Low 43° Rain 81%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 28 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 55° | 41° | 68% |
| US model (GFS) | 57° | 42° | 80% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 52° | 45° | 96% |
| German model (ICON) | 49° | 45° | 89% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 53° | 43° | 72% |
| The average | 53° | 43° | 81% |
High 48° Low 40° Rain 32%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 68 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 52° | 36° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 52° | 43° | 69% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 42° | 27% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 44° | 40% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 37° | 24% |
| The average | 48° | 40° | 32% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.