Herkimer, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Herkimer County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 44° Low 35° Rain 99%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 4 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 32° | 96% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 37° | 100% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 35° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 36° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 37° | 100% |
| The average | 44° | 35° | 99% |
High 39° Low 32° Rain 93%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 40° | 28° | 67% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 33° | 100% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 34° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 38° | 34° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 38° | 29° | 100% |
| The average | 39° | 32° | 93% |
High 40° Low 32° Rain 51%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 54 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 41° | 31° | 33% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 32° | 27% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 31° | 81% |
| German model (ICON) | 41° | 33° | 39% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 33° | 76% |
| The average | 40° | 32° | 51% |
High 41° Low 33° Rain 16%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 28° | 21% |
| US model (GFS) | 39° | 32° | 10% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 35° | 30% |
| German model (ICON) | 41° | 36° | 6% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 35° | 14% |
| The average | 41° | 33° | 16% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.