Minority Report

Hermitage, MO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hickory County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°0%
US model (GFS)55°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°37°0%
German model (ICON)52°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°38°0%
The average54°35°0%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°25°0%
US model (GFS)43°26°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°32°0%
German model (ICON)46°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°29°0%
The average46°28°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°29°1%
US model (GFS)51°22°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°26°0%
German model (ICON)51°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°23°0%
The average50°25°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 30°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°30°4%
US model (GFS)55°32°3%
European model (ECMWF)52°30°0%
German model (ICON)56°29°4%
Canadian model (GEM)53°29°5%
The average54°30°3%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.