Minority Report

Hertford, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Perquimans County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 70°   Low 50°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 12 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—44°1%
US model (GFS)72°50°12%
European model (ECMWF)70°50°6%
German model (ICON)71°50°5%
Canadian model (GEM)68°53°0%
The average70°50°5%

Friday, November 13

High 58°   Low 42°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°37°3%
US model (GFS)57°43°3%
European model (ECMWF)57°44°2%
German model (ICON)58°39°3%
Canadian model (GEM)58°48°0%
The average58°42°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 53°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°35°0%
US model (GFS)52°35°1%
European model (ECMWF)51°38°1%
German model (ICON)53°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°38°0%
The average53°36°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°34°0%
US model (GFS)55°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°37°0%
German model (ICON)58°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°34°0%
The average56°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.