Minority Report

Hickman, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Fulton County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 60°   Low 39°   Rain 10%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 34 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 34% against a group average of 10%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°0%
US model (GFS)60°39°2%
European model (ECMWF)60°43°34%
German model (ICON)60°39°3%
Canadian model (GEM)61°41°10%
The average60°39°10%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°30°0%
US model (GFS)46°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°37°0%
German model (ICON)49°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°35°0%
The average47°33°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°30°0%
US model (GFS)50°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°34°0%
German model (ICON)51°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°30°0%
The average50°31°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 32°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°32°2%
US model (GFS)55°35°1%
European model (ECMWF)54°34°0%
German model (ICON)56°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°25°0%
The average54°32°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.