Minority Report

Hillsboro, OR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Washington County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 57°   Low 46°   Rain 16%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 73 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 73% against a group average of 16%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—46°73%
US model (GFS)57°46°3%
European model (ECMWF)58°45°0%
German model (ICON)58°46°3%
Canadian model (GEM)57°45°0%
The average57°46°16%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 46°   Rain 95%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°46°96%
US model (GFS)52°46°89%
European model (ECMWF)57°48°100%
German model (ICON)58°47°100%
Canadian model (GEM)55°44°90%
The average55°46°95%

Saturday, November 14

High 57°   Low 48°   Rain 90%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 68% against a group average of 90%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°47°98%
US model (GFS)54°46°98%
European model (ECMWF)58°48°97%
German model (ICON)58°52°91%
Canadian model (GEM)56°48°68%
The average57°48°90%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 44°   Rain 98%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°41°94%
US model (GFS)52°43°98%
European model (ECMWF)55°45°100%
German model (ICON)53°46°100%
Canadian model (GEM)55°42°99%
The average54°44°98%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.