Minority Report

Hillsboro, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hill County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 50°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—49°0%
US model (GFS)73°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°52°0%
German model (ICON)78°50°0%
Canadian model (GEM)77°48°0%
The average76°50°0%

Friday, November 13

High 69°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service68°47°0%
US model (GFS)66°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)69°52°0%
German model (ICON)70°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)71°47°0%
The average69°49°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 64°   Low 48°   Rain 48%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 84 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 48%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°48°54%
US model (GFS)65°44°28%
European model (ECMWF)65°49°74%
German model (ICON)60°48°84%
Canadian model (GEM)69°49°0%
The average64°48°48%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 46°   Rain 90%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 74% against a group average of 90%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°46°92%
US model (GFS)57°47°74%
European model (ECMWF)55°47°95%
German model (ICON)51°46°98%
Canadian model (GEM)58°46°91%
The average55°46°90%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.