Minority Report

Hillsborough County, NH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hillsborough County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 42°   Low 36°   Rain 92%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 28 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 72% against a group average of 92%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°98%
US model (GFS)42°36°72%
European model (ECMWF)42°38°100%
German model (ICON)43°38°100%
Canadian model (GEM)43°35°88%
The average42°36°92%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 31°   Rain 84%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 39 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 61% against a group average of 84%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°29°61%
US model (GFS)40°32°70%
European model (ECMWF)41°33°100%
German model (ICON)38°34°98%
Canadian model (GEM)39°29°90%
The average40°31°84%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 30°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°29°1%
US model (GFS)41°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)43°31°4%
German model (ICON)43°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°28°0%
The average42°30°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 43°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°30°0%
US model (GFS)43°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°33°0%
German model (ICON)43°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°33°0%
The average43°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.