Minority Report

Hillsdale, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hillsdale County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 44°   Low 36°   Rain 74%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 0°, rain spread 79 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 21% against a group average of 74%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°21%
US model (GFS)44°36°75%
European model (ECMWF)44°38°100%
German model (ICON)44°37°75%
Canadian model (GEM)44°37°100%
The average44°36°74%

Friday, November 13

High 39°   Low 29°   Rain 19%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°26°11%
US model (GFS)36°32°16%
European model (ECMWF)40°31°22%
German model (ICON)39°30°25%
Canadian model (GEM)37°28°19%
The average39°29°19%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 29°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°31°8%
US model (GFS)40°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)42°28°0%
German model (ICON)44°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°26°0%
The average42°29°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 32°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°29°11%
US model (GFS)45°36°1%
European model (ECMWF)44°34°0%
German model (ICON)45°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°27°0%
The average44°32°2%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.