Hillsville, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Carroll County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 53° Low 39° Rain 37%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 48 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 35° | 7% |
| US model (GFS) | 53° | 38° | 36% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 53° | 40° | 51% |
| German model (ICON) | 52° | 40° | 55% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 56° | 40° | 38% |
| The average | 53° | 39° | 37% |
High 43° Low 32° Rain 6%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 31° | 5% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 31° | 9% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 34° | 6% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 33° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 33° | 5% |
| The average | 43° | 32° | 6% |
High 39° Low 31° Rain 6%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 41° | 29° | 5% |
| US model (GFS) | 38° | 30° | 15% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 38° | 32° | 3% |
| German model (ICON) | 38° | 32° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 30° | 5% |
| The average | 39° | 31° | 6% |
High 44° Low 30° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 28° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 29° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 30° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 31° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 30° | 0% |
| The average | 44° | 30° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.