Minority Report

Hindman, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Knott County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 42°   Rain 82%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 64 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 36% against a group average of 82%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°36%
US model (GFS)54°42°78%
European model (ECMWF)56°43°100%
German model (ICON)56°44°98%
Canadian model (GEM)57°43°100%
The average55°42°82%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 36°   Rain 81%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 40 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 60% against a group average of 81%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°30°68%
US model (GFS)44°34°60%
European model (ECMWF)44°37°100%
German model (ICON)44°38°85%
Canadian model (GEM)43°38°90%
The average44°36°81%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 32°   Rain 23%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 48% against a group average of 23%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°28°15%
US model (GFS)44°33°5%
European model (ECMWF)44°31°34%
German model (ICON)42°35°48%
Canadian model (GEM)40°32°13%
The average43°32°23%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°27°0%
US model (GFS)46°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°33°0%
German model (ICON)50°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°32°0%
The average48°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.