Minority Report

Hobart, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Kiowa County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 73°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—42°0%
US model (GFS)74°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)71°44°0%
German model (ICON)73°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)74°43°0%
The average73°43°0%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°41°0%
US model (GFS)60°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°43°0%
German model (ICON)59°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)61°42°0%
The average60°42°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 55°   Low 41°   Rain 93%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°42°97%
US model (GFS)56°37°85%
European model (ECMWF)53°44°96%
German model (ICON)55°42°96%
Canadian model (GEM)55°41°90%
The average55°41°93%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 41°   Rain 92%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 82% against a group average of 92%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°39°82%
US model (GFS)48°42°92%
European model (ECMWF)45°42°98%
German model (ICON)45°42°98%
Canadian model (GEM)44°39°90%
The average46°41°92%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.