Minority Report

Hodgenville, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Larue County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 40°   Rain 55%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 65 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 17% against a group average of 55%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°17%
US model (GFS)55°41°24%
European model (ECMWF)55°42°76%
German model (ICON)56°41°78%
Canadian model (GEM)56°41°82%
The average56°40°55%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 47%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 62 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 79% against a group average of 47%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°29°58%
US model (GFS)46°35°17%
European model (ECMWF)45°37°79%
German model (ICON)46°35°30%
Canadian model (GEM)44°33°49%
The average45°34°47%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 30°   Rain 4%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°26°0%
US model (GFS)49°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)47°31°2%
German model (ICON)48°32°5%
Canadian model (GEM)46°28°10%
The average48°30°4%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°27°0%
US model (GFS)52°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°32°0%
German model (ICON)53°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°22°0%
The average51°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.