Minority Report

Holbrook, AZ — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Navajo County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 63°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°2%
US model (GFS)64°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)63°35°0%
German model (ICON)63°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°25°0%
The average63°32°0%

Friday, November 13

High 64°   Low 37°   Rain 28%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 37 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 47% against a group average of 28%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°42°47%
US model (GFS)64°35°10%
European model (ECMWF)63°39°27%
German model (ICON)64°40°25%
Canadian model (GEM)64°29°29%
The average64°37°28%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 37°   Rain 53%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 56 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 83% against a group average of 53%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°32°50%
US model (GFS)55°43°27%
European model (ECMWF)54°40°83%
German model (ICON)58°42°63%
Canadian model (GEM)55°31°43%
The average56°37°53%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°35°0%
US model (GFS)55°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°33°0%
German model (ICON)56°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°21°0%
The average55°33°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.