Minority Report

Holdenville, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hughes County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 69°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°1%
US model (GFS)70°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)69°46°0%
German model (ICON)68°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)69°44°0%
The average69°43°0%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°36°1%
US model (GFS)56°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°41°0%
German model (ICON)56°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°37°0%
The average56°38°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 58°   Low 36°   Rain 44%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 57% against a group average of 44%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°39°57%
US model (GFS)59°36°33%
European model (ECMWF)58°39°55%
German model (ICON)57°32°34%
Canadian model (GEM)57°35°41%
The average58°36°44%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 40°   Rain 89%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°38°86%
US model (GFS)51°40°83%
European model (ECMWF)46°42°98%
German model (ICON)46°41°87%
Canadian model (GEM)48°40°92%
The average48°40°89%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.