Minority Report

Hollidaysburg, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Blair County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 51°   Low 40°   Rain 81%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 68 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 32% against a group average of 81%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°32%
US model (GFS)50°40°74%
European model (ECMWF)54°41°100%
German model (ICON)49°41°100%
Canadian model (GEM)51°42°100%
The average51°40°81%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 34°   Rain 50%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 72 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 11% against a group average of 50%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°30°30%
US model (GFS)40°34°11%
European model (ECMWF)42°37°62%
German model (ICON)41°34°83%
Canadian model (GEM)43°37°62%
The average42°34°50%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 34°   Rain 35%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 59% against a group average of 35%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°33°22%
US model (GFS)42°32°16%
European model (ECMWF)41°35°59%
German model (ICON)42°34°28%
Canadian model (GEM)43°36°48%
The average43°34°35%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 35°   Rain 25%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 42% against a group average of 25%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°30°18%
US model (GFS)43°34°13%
European model (ECMWF)46°38°31%
German model (ICON)44°39°19%
Canadian model (GEM)45°36°42%
The average45°35°25%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.