Minority Report

Hollis, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Harmon County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 44°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—42°0%
US model (GFS)77°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)77°48°0%
German model (ICON)76°45°0%
Canadian model (GEM)78°43°0%
The average77°44°0%

Friday, November 13

High 61°   Low 44°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°42°0%
US model (GFS)62°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)61°45°0%
German model (ICON)60°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°43°0%
The average61°44°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 43°   Rain 97%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°43°97%
US model (GFS)59°41°90%
European model (ECMWF)49°46°100%
German model (ICON)54°43°98%
Canadian model (GEM)50°41°100%
The average54°43°97%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 42°   Rain 86%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 55 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 45% against a group average of 86%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°38°45%
US model (GFS)54°44°90%
European model (ECMWF)46°44°98%
German model (ICON)46°43°98%
Canadian model (GEM)47°39°100%
The average49°42°86%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.