Minority Report

Holton, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Jackson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 48°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—27°0%
US model (GFS)48°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°34°0%
German model (ICON)48°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°28°0%
The average48°31°0%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°24°0%
US model (GFS)41°26°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°30°0%
German model (ICON)45°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°21°0%
The average44°26°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°33°1%
US model (GFS)46°26°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°28°0%
German model (ICON)47°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°16°0%
The average47°26°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 29°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°30°3%
US model (GFS)52°35°2%
European model (ECMWF)50°28°0%
German model (ICON)52°31°3%
Canadian model (GEM)50°22°0%
The average50°29°2%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.