Minority Report

Homer, LA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Claiborne Parish.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 74°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—41°1%
US model (GFS)75°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)73°53°0%
German model (ICON)74°50°0%
Canadian model (GEM)73°54°0%
The average74°49°0%

Friday, November 13

High 61°   Low 41°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°36°1%
US model (GFS)60°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°44°0%
German model (ICON)59°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°44°0%
The average61°41°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 58°   Low 37°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°36°5%
US model (GFS)61°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°41°0%
German model (ICON)58°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°41°0%
The average58°37°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 42°   Rain 67%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 12°, rain spread 31 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 48% against a group average of 67%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°39°52%
US model (GFS)62°42°48%
European model (ECMWF)53°44°77%
German model (ICON)50°43°79%
Canadian model (GEM)54°44°78%
The average56°42°67%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.