Minority Report

Hondo, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Medina County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 54°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—49°0%
US model (GFS)76°55°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°58°0%
German model (ICON)76°57°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°50°0%
The average76°54°0%

Friday, November 13

High 74°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service75°52°0%
US model (GFS)72°51°0%
European model (ECMWF)75°52°0%
German model (ICON)74°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°45°0%
The average74°49°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 71°   Low 55°   Rain 70%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 12°, rain spread 28 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 55% against a group average of 70%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°58°61%
US model (GFS)69°54°55%
European model (ECMWF)71°56°83%
German model (ICON)66°56°72%
Canadian model (GEM)78°53°78%
The average71°55°70%

Sunday, November 15

High 74°   Low 58°   Rain 76%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 42 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 55% against a group average of 76%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service70°53°59%
US model (GFS)74°62°55%
European model (ECMWF)77°56°92%
German model (ICON)75°59°78%
Canadian model (GEM)74°61°97%
The average74°58°76%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.