Honolulu, HI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Honolulu County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 80° Low 75° Rain 48%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 81 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 83° | 74° | 6% |
| US model (GFS) | 80° | 74° | 87% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 78° | 75° | 45% |
| German model (ICON) | 80° | 75° | 58% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 79° | 74° | 43% |
| The average | 80° | 75° | 48% |
High 80° Low 74° Rain 20%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 83° | 74° | 9% |
| US model (GFS) | 80° | 73° | 29% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 76° | 75° | 25% |
| German model (ICON) | 83° | 74° | 20% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 79° | 74° | 19% |
| The average | 80° | 74° | 20% |
High 80° Low 74° Rain 28%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 83° | 74° | 18% |
| US model (GFS) | 81° | 73° | 32% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 78° | 75° | 35% |
| German model (ICON) | 80° | 75° | 15% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 80° | 74° | 38% |
| The average | 80° | 74° | 28% |
High 80° Low 75° Rain 30%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 34 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 84° | 75° | 12% |
| US model (GFS) | 80° | 74° | 32% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 79° | 76° | 46% |
| German model (ICON) | 81° | 75° | 15% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 79° | 74° | 43% |
| The average | 80° | 75° | 30% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.