Minority Report

Hot Springs, SD — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Fall River County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°0%
US model (GFS)63°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°41°0%
German model (ICON)56°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°37°0%
The average58°37°0%

Friday, November 13

High 54°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°35°0%
US model (GFS)49°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°42°0%
German model (ICON)55°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°34°0%
The average54°36°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°37°1%
US model (GFS)51°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°39°0%
German model (ICON)50°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°30°0%
The average51°35°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 58°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°38°1%
US model (GFS)60°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°40°0%
German model (ICON)58°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°35°0%
The average58°37°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.