Minority Report

Hot Sulphur Springs, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Grand County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 22°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—20°0%
US model (GFS)56°20°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°30°0%
German model (ICON)54°19°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°22°0%
The average54°22°0%

Friday, November 13

High 54°   Low 26°   Rain 1%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°23°6%
US model (GFS)56°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°30°0%
German model (ICON)52°20°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°22°0%
The average54°26°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 27°   Rain 51%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 46 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 51%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°23°63%
US model (GFS)48°27°65%
European model (ECMWF)45°31°31%
German model (ICON)48°25°25%
Canadian model (GEM)45°28°71%
The average47°27°51%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 25°   Rain 26%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 73 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 77% against a group average of 26%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°19°4%
US model (GFS)46°26°32%
European model (ECMWF)47°29°11%
German model (ICON)48°25°4%
Canadian model (GEM)46°24°77%
The average47°25°26%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.