Minority Report

Houlton, ME — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Aroostook County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 42°   Low 26°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 0°, rain spread 3 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—19°3%
US model (GFS)42°30°1%
European model (ECMWF)42°27°0%
German model (ICON)42°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°25°0%
The average42°26°1%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 27°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°24°4%
US model (GFS)40°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)39°28°0%
German model (ICON)40°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°22°0%
The average40°27°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 40°   Low 30°   Rain 23%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 34 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 48% against a group average of 23%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°26°19%
US model (GFS)39°29°17%
European model (ECMWF)41°31°14%
German model (ICON)39°33°18%
Canadian model (GEM)40°32°48%
The average40°30°23%

Sunday, November 15

High 39°   Low 30°   Rain 14%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°26°13%
US model (GFS)38°28°12%
European model (ECMWF)38°31°20%
German model (ICON)39°32°8%
Canadian model (GEM)40°33°16%
The average39°30°14%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.