Minority Report

Houston, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Harris County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 57°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—55°0%
US model (GFS)74°59°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°59°2%
German model (ICON)78°59°0%
Canadian model (GEM)80°52°0%
The average77°57°0%

Friday, November 13

High 75°   Low 52°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service71°53°0%
US model (GFS)74°53°0%
European model (ECMWF)73°56°0%
German model (ICON)77°53°0%
Canadian model (GEM)82°46°0%
The average75°52°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 66°   Low 52°   Rain 15%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 34 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 34% against a group average of 15%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°57°17%
US model (GFS)67°46°4%
European model (ECMWF)66°53°34%
German model (ICON)63°50°20%
Canadian model (GEM)71°55°0%
The average66°52°15%

Sunday, November 15

High 70°   Low 55°   Rain 77%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 56% against a group average of 77%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°56°73%
US model (GFS)73°56°56%
European model (ECMWF)67°55°88%
German model (ICON)71°56°80%
Canadian model (GEM)72°52°89%
The average70°55°77%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.