Minority Report

Howard, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Elk County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°0%
US model (GFS)60°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°39°0%
German model (ICON)58°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°37°0%
The average59°36°0%

Friday, November 13

High 49°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°28°0%
US model (GFS)48°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°32°0%
German model (ICON)49°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°26°0%
The average49°29°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 29°   Rain 4%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°37°10%
US model (GFS)53°28°2%
European model (ECMWF)50°31°1%
German model (ICON)53°28°3%
Canadian model (GEM)53°22°2%
The average52°29°4%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 38°   Rain 27%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 36 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 52% against a group average of 27%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°35°27%
US model (GFS)44°42°20%
European model (ECMWF)51°36°22%
German model (ICON)49°38°16%
Canadian model (GEM)44°39°52%
The average48°38°27%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.