Howell, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Livingston County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 45° Low 37° Rain 77%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 85 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 31° | 15% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 37° | 82% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 39° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 38° | 90% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 38° | 97% |
| The average | 45° | 37° | 77% |
High 39° Low 30° Rain 23%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 40° | 27° | 27% |
| US model (GFS) | 39° | 31° | 19% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 39° | 34° | 39% |
| German model (ICON) | 40° | 32° | 18% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 38° | 28° | 14% |
| The average | 39° | 30° | 23% |
High 42° Low 30° Rain 1%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 31° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 39° | 31° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 29° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 29° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 27° | 0% |
| The average | 42° | 30° | 1% |
High 44° Low 31° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 29° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 35° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 34° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 34° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 25° | 0% |
| The average | 44° | 31° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.