Minority Report

Hoxie, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Sheridan County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°0%
US model (GFS)60°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°36°0%
German model (ICON)58°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°36°0%
The average59°34°0%

Friday, November 13

High 52°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°31°0%
US model (GFS)50°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°36°0%
German model (ICON)51°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°29°0%
The average52°32°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 33°   Rain 38%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 32 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 55% against a group average of 38%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°32°37%
US model (GFS)52°29°23%
European model (ECMWF)46°36°48%
German model (ICON)50°34°28%
Canadian model (GEM)45°34°55%
The average48°33°38%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 37°   Rain 45%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 48 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 45%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°32°19%
US model (GFS)41°40°32%
European model (ECMWF)47°39°65%
German model (ICON)44°39°43%
Canadian model (GEM)47°34°67%
The average45°37°45%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.