Minority Report

Hudson, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Columbia County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 46°   Low 38°   Rain 100%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°99%
US model (GFS)45°38°100%
European model (ECMWF)47°41°100%
German model (ICON)45°38°100%
Canadian model (GEM)47°40°100%
The average46°38°100%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 33°   Rain 94%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 73% against a group average of 94%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°30°73%
US model (GFS)39°35°97%
European model (ECMWF)41°34°100%
German model (ICON)41°34°100%
Canadian model (GEM)40°34°100%
The average40°33°94%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 33°   Rain 4%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°30°4%
US model (GFS)42°33°3%
European model (ECMWF)45°34°10%
German model (ICON)45°34°5%
Canadian model (GEM)43°34°0%
The average44°33°4%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 35°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°30°5%
US model (GFS)44°34°2%
European model (ECMWF)46°38°10%
German model (ICON)46°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°34°0%
The average45°35°3%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.