Minority Report

Hugo, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lincoln County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 66°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°0%
US model (GFS)66°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°38°0%
German model (ICON)66°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°33°0%
The average66°31°0%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 31°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°32°6%
US model (GFS)62°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°36°0%
German model (ICON)60°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°28°0%
The average60°31°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 35°   Rain 60%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 46 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 86% against a group average of 60%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°30°41%
US model (GFS)51°34°57%
European model (ECMWF)46°38°86%
German model (ICON)54°37°40%
Canadian model (GEM)45°34°76%
The average50°35°60%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 35°   Rain 35%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 71 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 74% against a group average of 35%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°28°3%
US model (GFS)48°40°16%
European model (ECMWF)46°36°40%
German model (ICON)52°40°40%
Canadian model (GEM)45°31°74%
The average48°35°35%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.