Minority Report

Hugo, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Choctaw County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 72°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—42°1%
US model (GFS)72°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)72°49°0%
German model (ICON)72°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)73°50°0%
The average72°47°0%

Friday, November 13

High 62°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°39°1%
US model (GFS)63°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°46°0%
German model (ICON)61°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°44°0%
The average62°43°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 58°   Low 40°   Rain 23%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 23%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°41°43%
US model (GFS)60°40°9%
European model (ECMWF)58°42°35%
German model (ICON)57°36°26%
Canadian model (GEM)57°42°0%
The average58°40°23%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 41°   Rain 89%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 78% against a group average of 89%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°41°88%
US model (GFS)50°41°78%
European model (ECMWF)49°43°98%
German model (ICON)47°42°86%
Canadian model (GEM)50°40°96%
The average49°41°89%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.